Saturday, October 14, 2006

Flawed study on stolen base risk analysis

Here’s a working paper on stolen base decision making. It’s badly flawed mainly because it fails to consider all the costs of a CS – specifically, it forgot to note that a caught stealing significantly reduces the chance of having a big inning.

I won’t review it here, because I'd just be repeating others' analysis at "The Sports Economist"
and "The Book" (scroll down to October 14).

Thanks to
Sabernomics for the original pointer.


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