A new 2007-08 streakiness study
If you're sick of clutch hitting studies, you're probably *really* sick of streakiness studies. But here's a new one from "Eric Karros" of "Sons of Steve Garvey."
He found that after winning one or two consecutive games, teams were slightly more likely to win the next. But after winning three, four, or five consecutive games, they won the subsequent game far less often than you'd expect from their record.
Bottom line: like many other previous studies, no evidence of "momentum" or a "hot hand."
Some of this might be the pitching rotation: teams that win four in a row are likely to have done it with their top four starters, and their fifth starter is a worse pitcher, so more likely to lose. But that doesn't explain the five-in-a-row effect.
Hat tip: Carl Bialik